Bowed-Optimal
0x2e2c64fae971071b357b3049a102394a83391c1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.97
Total PnL
$-88.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.32
$-0.68
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.65
$-2.35
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?
1434 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.21
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
97 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$20.00Apr 30, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$21.27Apr 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$6.00Apr 24, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?$20.00Apr 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Apr 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$10.00Apr 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$10.00Apr 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00Apr 24, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $10.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.