Peaceful-Illusion
0x2e4d05beafd81a6e85bc0c6a94820d61ef34f703
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$127.1K
Total PnL
$-58.1K
Realised
$-7.2K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
466495 shares @ 24.1¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.7K
$-41.9K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.4K
$1.4K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
16000 shares @ 86.7¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
34562 shares @ 27.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.9K
$1.5K
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
6716 shares @ 69.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$316.72
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
14921 shares @ 40.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.8K
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
18601 shares @ 73.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.0K
$-10.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
6888 shares @ 29.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-503.27
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
1000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$980.50
$190.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$596.70
$32.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$8.79Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.67Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$91.89Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- YIELD$9.27Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$19.77Jun 10, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$8.82Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$129.27Jun 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$0.91Jun 9, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$9.10Jun 9, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$9.06Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$8.95Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.87Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOKX IPO in 2026?$359.02Jun 6, 13:21 UTC
- YIELD$9.04Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$9.61Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$9.61Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$598.93Jun 3, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $146.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.