Crushing-Everyone
0x2e70e6aaec416e7ae6322083f0bb50aec27d37bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$21.62
Total PnL
$-8.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 13.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.00
$17.24
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
79 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$0.52
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
487 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
252 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
194 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June?
178 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
157 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
129 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
127 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the match not air?
111 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.59Jun 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.32Jun 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$0.61Jun 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$1.26Jun 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$0.22Jun 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$0.12Jun 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jun 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$0.34Jun 26, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$0.24Jun 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$0.60Jun 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$0.19Jun 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$0.12Jun 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$0.54Jun 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Elon baby by June 30?$0.85Jun 26, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.07Jun 26, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.