Crisp-Scarf
0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$32.5K
Total PnL
$4.1K
Realised
$357.05
Win rate
94%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6925 shares @ 58.2¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$1.3K
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
5341 shares @ 71.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$567.75
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
3045 shares @ 83.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.8K
$264.80
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
2679 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.6K
$151.83
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
2922 shares @ 74.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.4K
$236.94
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
2488 shares @ 82.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$165.73
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
2363 shares @ 47.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$389.89
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
1561 shares @ 75.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.4K
$258.24
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
1255 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.2K
$59.37
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
944 shares @ 85.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$909.55
$101.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$50.29Jun 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$4.00Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$40.00Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$12.00Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$5.60Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$5.76Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$57.60Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$18.46Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$35.72Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$3.3KJun 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.32Jun 11, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.80Jun 11, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.78Jun 10, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $101.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.