Austere-Nudge
0x2ee1e2e8236f60c95e0e4b41d6c88b2e02c1e2bb
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$54.65
Total PnL
$12.78
Realised
$7.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$10.40
$8.40
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$9.70
$4.70
- YES
Casemiro: Anytime Goalscorer
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$6.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
19 shares @ 51.3¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- NO
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.46
$0.46
- YES
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.24
$3.24
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
50 shares @ 14.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.72
$-3.28
- YES
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$3.43
$1.43
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.04
$-3.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBenjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer$2.049h ago
- TRADEBUYBruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer$2.049h ago
- TRADEBUYCasemiro: Anytime Goalscorer$3.079h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?$2.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$5.099h ago
- REDEEMWill Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?$2.092d ago
- REDEEMWill Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?$2.093d ago
- REDEEMWill Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$6.263d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?$3.123d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?$10.533d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$11.543d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?$1.034d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".