Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?
Probability
91¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
+1.9pp
24h Vol
$168.85
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 91¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 4.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 91¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 93¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 93¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 93¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
As of market creation, General Dynamics is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for General Dynamics's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.67 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if General Dynamics reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.67 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If General Dynamics releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://seekingalpha.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (4.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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