0x2ef04d654bf3fca320149728cf0c53914bbb585d
0x2ef04d654bf3fca320149728cf0c53914bbb585d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$62.02
Total PnL
$-6.15
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.69
$1.74
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7 shares @ 66.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.54
$0.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.45
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.35
$0.39
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.34
$0.38
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.83
$0.08
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?$5.12Jun 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?$2.30Jun 14, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$5.04Jun 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?$1.08Jun 13, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$3.82Jun 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.79Jun 11, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$2.53Jun 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$5.12May 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.06May 31, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$1.92May 30, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$1.74May 30, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.88May 20, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$8.53May 20, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 19, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$7.39May 11, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$7.99May 11, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$0.00Apr 20, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Apr 20, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.