Bare-Stag
0x2fa801da750904fc348ccb9315a0b892377d4359
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$4.93
Realised
$4.44
Win rate
47%
108 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$182.40
$0.24
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
171 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$170.80
$0.85
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
140 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.55
$0.26
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
98 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.12
$1.95
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
76 shares @ 71.9¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.16
$7.28
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
64 shares @ 84.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.72
$0.72
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
54 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.79
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
52 shares @ 84.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.38
$0.61
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
35 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$34.51
$0.18
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.14
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.46May 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.37May 30, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.04May 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$8.38May 30, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$0.04May 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$0.01May 30, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$0.18May 30, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.41May 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$4.72May 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.10May 30, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$4.35May 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.26May 30, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.19May 30, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$0.28May 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$71.33May 30, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.70May 30, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.30May 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.34May 30, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.79May 30, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$2.73May 30, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 108 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".