Trivial-Characterization
0x2ff67970fd327d8895bd4ed3b28a0e9af8327c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
695 shares @ 71.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$580.38
$80.38
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
641 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$548.08
$48.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$174.07
$-25.93
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
1111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.67
$-33.33
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.12
$53.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1409 shares @ 14.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.86
$-66.13
- PACQUIAO
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
266 shares @ 37.6¢·now 47.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$124.84
$24.84
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.86
$13.86
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$109.49
$9.49
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
599 shares @ 16.7¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$69.76
$-30.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.61Jul 19, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$104.80Jul 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$104.85Jul 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$514.75Jul 19, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$200.00Jul 19, 15:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $205.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.