Nimble-Pit
0x3006b8ff025a3786dd9e2e2b3e183d429143e9f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$102.4K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50682 shares @ 85.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.9K
$4.5K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
24260 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$23.6K
$2.1K
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
9189 shares @ 68.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
7946 shares @ 91.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.5K
$230.54
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
15758 shares @ 35.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
5073 shares @ 88.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$-549.68
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
3630 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$461.89
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$60.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
14385 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.67Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
0 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$38.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.