Orderly-Divide
0x303f7b55e38f2f719087f35ac84781f86040801e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$1.18
Total PnL
$-525.68
Realised
$-9.63
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- THUNDER
Lakers vs. Thunder
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Anthropic CEO arrested?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.82
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
3750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- NO
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2379 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.37
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1743 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.91
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1153 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?
509 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-259.70
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120-129 times April 4 - 11?
300 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-31.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.00May 6, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.27Apr 8, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.38Apr 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.48Apr 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.41Apr 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.26Apr 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.93Apr 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $0.33Apr 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.03Apr 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Apr 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.13Apr 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.68Apr 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.20Apr 8, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.22Apr 8, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.87Apr 8, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.15Mar 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Mar 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 31, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 31, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".