Bruised-Reluctance
0x30644d525d6957fa76715d95caa3a26a01ca641a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$346.43
Total PnL
$-159.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
88 shares @ 80.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$65.02
$-6.38
- NO
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.69
$-0.23
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.09
$0.09
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 68.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$27.64
$-1.53
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$16.84
$-3.16
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.31
$1.31
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
23 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.45
$0.45
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
21 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.10
$0.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.72
$1.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$23.26May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.14May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5$10.15May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)$10.14May 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$10.16May 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$10.17May 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.75May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.74May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.13May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.54May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.75May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.88May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.61May 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$5.78May 14, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic$8.00May 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLParis: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet$4.43May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$3.23May 14, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".