Bruised-Reluctance
0x30644d525d6957fa76715d95caa3a26a01ca641a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$44.89
Total PnL
$-429.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.81
$8.81
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
14 shares @ 58.9¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.10
$4.09
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$8.99
$-11.01
- LOS ANGELES THIEVES
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs OpTic Texas (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs
229 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-142.16
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
123 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
111 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- G2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
88 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- FUT ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
71 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.15Jul 20, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$181.82Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $43.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.