Flawed-Mantle
0x306f73c716bdad8a87c7cbd8f6e4caed64caaa99
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$130.20
Total PnL
$-430.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
840 shares @ 49.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.20
$-287.40
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
237 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-41.66
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
103 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03?
90 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.10
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Iraq?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?$6.17Jun 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Iraq?$14.81Jun 4, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?$40.00Jun 4, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?$4.93Jun 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?$12.80Jun 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-03?$7.69Jun 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$7.06Jun 3, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win on 2026-06-03?$7.94Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-03?$5.74Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?$100.00Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-05-31?$19.86May 31, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$1.02May 31, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$0.43May 31, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?$25.56May 31, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$49.95May 30, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$25.00May 30, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$22.51May 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.20Apr 7, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$3.00Apr 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$3.00Apr 7, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $29.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".