Immaculate-President
0x30829e69948fe5ae960cb13c31942cf45a569446
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$343.34
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$126.51
Win rate
100%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
19 shares @ 76.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.94
$1.24
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?
15 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.76
$0.93
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.71
$0.61
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by July 31?
14 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.18
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?
14 shares @ 90.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.76
$1.06
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.30
$-0.07
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?
13 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$13.16
$5.32
- NO
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.91
$0.37
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.90
$3.45
- NO
Kash Patel out by July 31?
13 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.89
$0.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph?$13.97Jul 29, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$12.44Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?$12.90Jul 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$5.31Jul 28, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?$3.07Jul 28, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$12.91Jul 28, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ariana Grande feature The Weeknd on Petal?$8.56Jul 27, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 110 mph?$14.35Jul 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$11.26Jul 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAWS service disrupted by July 31?$12.56Jul 27, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?$9.45Jul 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?$7.01Jul 26, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$12.97Jul 26, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? $4.47Jul 25, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by July 31?$11.27Jul 25, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$4.32Jul 25, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.58Jul 25, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$5.16Jul 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?$0.42Jul 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?$10.17Jul 25, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
79/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
43 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.