Imaginary-Supplier
0x319b07a07299ee3b1b1107062cfda9cd9168f04e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$234.74
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-49.39
Win rate
44%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
40 shares @ 40.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$21.80
$5.80
- YES
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?
20 shares @ 71.5¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$15.99
$1.69
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
30 shares @ 59.8¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-3.25
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
20 shares @ 67.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$0.00
- U 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$13.10
$-1.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 85.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.97
$0.17
- NO
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 60.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.07
$1.88
- NO
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$11.90
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
30 shares @ 57.8¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.10
$-6.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$15.00Jun 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.30Jun 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.30Jun 19, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1.27Jun 18, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?$5.00Jun 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2.00Jun 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.90Jun 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.90Jun 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.90Jun 16, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.80Jun 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$3.10Jun 16, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$3.10Jun 16, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.37Jun 16, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.28Jun 16, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.70Jun 16, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.75Jun 16, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.25Jun 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.20Jun 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.15Jun 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.45Jun 16, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
62/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
34 closed markets, 44% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.