Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Probability
59¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 59¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3897h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 17.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3896.7h
- 19:18SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3897h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 59¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 3d ago (to 58¢).
Show all 61 hour-by-hour ticks
- 14:00 · -5.5pp → 60¢
- 10:00 · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 09:00 · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 08:00 · -14.5pp → 60¢
- 06:00 · -8.0pp → 60¢
- 03:00 · -12.0pp → 60¢
- 00:00 · -13.5pp → 60¢
- 22:00 · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 20:00 · -13.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -15.5pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -15.5pp → 60¢
- 3d ago · -18.5pp → 58¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 60¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 60¢
- 3d ago · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 3d ago · -14.5pp → 61¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 63¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 61¢
- 3d ago · +15.0pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +14.0pp → 74¢
- 3d ago · +14.5pp → 73¢
- 4d ago · +16.0pp → 74¢
- 4d ago · +6.0pp → 64¢
- 4d ago · +4.5pp → 62¢
- 4d ago · +12.5pp → 70¢
- 4d ago · +16.5pp → 74¢
- 4d ago · +15.5pp → 73¢
- 4d ago · +13.0pp → 72¢
- 4d ago · +14.5pp → 73¢
- 4d ago · +12.0pp → 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "O 99.5" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Dodgers to record more than 99.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 99.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- mlb.comOfficial sports resultmlb.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (17.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.