Amazing-Court
0x32830e4dbd6360c9e238223714faac32a4ad6d1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$34.48
Total PnL
$-29.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.28
$-0.02
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.18
$-0.11
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.71
$0.15
- NO
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
3 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.78
$0.08
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.76
$0.36
- NO
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
2 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.91Jun 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$1.93Jun 16, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane form by May 31?$2.12Jun 16, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.