Dear-Hypothesis
0x32d1623dddbd4841a98da71e47f0436d2ef2b949
Quality score
76/100
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-766.85
Realised
$-134.25
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
5641 shares @ 22.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-143.84
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1162 shares @ 37.2¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$499.78
$67.78
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
662 shares @ 60.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$450.27
$51.13
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23648 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$437.50
$16.29
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32163 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$337.71
$1.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3268 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$245.10
$5.41
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
485 shares @ 42.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.28
$-5.96
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1166 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.44
$-5.83
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
2094 shares @ 25.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$114.12
$-425.83
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
312 shares @ 38.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.89
$-29.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$2.515h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.415h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$11.425h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.846h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$15.226h ago
- YIELD$0.0613h ago
- YIELD$0.072d ago
- YIELD$0.073d ago
- YIELD$0.064d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$50.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$71.044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$25.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$52.804d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$23.594d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$33.324d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$54.004d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$103.134d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$63.034d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$100.244d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$31.204d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $74.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.