Illustrious-Greens
0x32f7db78919d1269b5411b480d98276f74d5bc6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$94.14
Total PnL
$-54.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
859 shares @ 12.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.29
$-32.71
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 55.1¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.57
$-2.43
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$-12.09
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 27.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?$1.00Jul 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?$1.00Jul 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.03Jul 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Jul 13, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMMinneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$1.03Jul 12, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$3.33Jul 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$1.03Jul 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04Jul 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$1.04Jul 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.04Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.10Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 17, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$0.00Jun 13, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.