Acidic-Wrapping
0x330ac0b3f89b79aabc8712b133e105f1de1de4c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$118.17
Total PnL
$-184.01
Realised
$2.74
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
160 shares @ 28.7¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$49.37
$3.37
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42 shares @ 57.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.68
$1.18
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
23 shares @ 43.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.98
$0.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
69 shares @ 14.4¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
11 shares @ 54.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.83
$0.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
9 shares @ 67.8¢·now 72.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$4.36
$-0.29
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
9 shares @ 33.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.81
$0.81
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLValorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$0.41Jul 22, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$1.05Jul 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$6.08Jul 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$2.83Jul 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1.00Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$3.08Jul 22, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$5.04Jul 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$0.30Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$0.99Jul 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.26Jul 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.04Jul 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.04Jul 22, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$0.43Jul 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.59Jul 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.04Jul 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B$0.71Jul 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B$1.04Jul 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.03Jul 22, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$1.16Jul 22, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.