Last-Underestimate
0x33359092c796ed9f5040b4849be8ed4f57e7e7d4
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$786.66
Total PnL
$-118.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
968 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.39
$-101.61
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$34.86
$4.86
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
35 shares @ 86.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.98
$-1.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?
33 shares @ 91.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.71
$-1.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$188.482h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$64.292h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?$0.0017h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?$32.102d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$32.133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?$30.094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$30.084d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$30.084d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$30.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$30.114d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$30.174d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$30.164d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$30.104d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?$31.995d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$300.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $45.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".