Empty-Heartthrob
0x33420a3047127748892cc2aa9c3d057e640a731f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$114.32
Total PnL
$-411.08
Realised
$5.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.59
$1.59
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
16 shares @ 24.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$3.45
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
18 shares @ 43.7¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.77
$-1.23
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
16 shares @ 37.1¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.97
$3.97
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.61
$2.61
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.49
$2.49
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
19 shares @ 20.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?$2.00Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$2.00Jul 20, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$2.00Jul 20, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$2.00Jul 20, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$5.00Jul 20, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.59Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$4.00Jul 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.00Jul 17, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01Jul 16, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.03Jul 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.14Jul 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 14?$7.69Jul 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$1.03Jul 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$2.05Jul 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.12Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.