Daring-Liquor
0x33db47152223a9b30a1891902402ad7e3485417a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-973.75
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
79%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
587 shares @ 91.3¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$553.32
$16.85
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
2872 shares @ 69.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$430.79
$-1.5K
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
536 shares @ 70.1¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$380.88
$4.95
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
674 shares @ 45.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$326.85
$18.25
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
297 shares @ 60.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$261.11
$81.91
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
464 shares @ 36.2¢·now 42.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.82
$30.80
- NO
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
211 shares @ 75.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.28
$0.89
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 52.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$145.49
$-10.50
- YES
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
665 shares @ 14.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.66
$41.01
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
277 shares @ 42.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.35
$10.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$42.00Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$50.90Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$48.21Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$89.00Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$45.11Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$8.32Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$53.57Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$0.02Jun 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$27.14Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$46.31Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$19.16Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$1.00Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$11.00Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$2.35Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$11.84Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.57Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?$87.59Jun 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?$5.76Jun 13, 00:41 UTC
- REWARD$3.17Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$0.31Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $44.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.