Sane-Symbol
0x347b13dbf510484f2c7d0ced7e3e2c40f4f1c9bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
147
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-807.03
Realised
$375.88
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
28748 shares @ 9.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-298.75
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
7066 shares @ 14.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$883.29
$-162.83
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
3077 shares @ 25.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$661.51
$-135.40
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
6297 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$535.21
$-160.34
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$287.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 71.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$274.50
$59.50
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
3200 shares @ 9.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.00
$-33.00
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
2561 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.09
$15.08
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of July 27 2026?
200 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$185.00
$2.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$165.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$202.12Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of July 27 2026?$55.59Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$2.90Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$42.04Jul 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?$4.52Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$179.00Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?$0.00Jul 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democrat" during Fox & Friends appearance?$3.90Jul 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?$3.42Jul 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.47Jul 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?$1.31Jul 28, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?$7.36Jul 28, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?$2.57Jul 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Prime Day" during earnings call?$3.85Jul 28, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call?$5.07Jul 28, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$99.90Jul 28, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Nominate" or "Nominated" or "Nomination" during Big Brother E12?$3.21Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E12?$3.21Jul 28, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Veto" during Big Brother E12?$2.89Jul 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?$4.74Jul 28, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $49.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.