Luminous-Insectarium
0x34dc80f95407cd8e02be6cd7437027547c4dd280
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$62.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
558 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$512.46
$12.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
328 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$327.59
$27.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$284.48
$-15.52
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
226 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$213.52
$13.52
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$205.31
$5.31
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
217 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$202.57
$4.57
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
245 shares @ 81.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.50
$-0.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 13, 2026$106.61
$6.61
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
258 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.29
$1.29
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 45.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.82
$8.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$10.0310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.2510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.0910h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.0712h ago
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.042d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$15.003d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$300.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$5.064d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$200.005d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$100.005d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$300.007d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$10.009d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$200.009d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$100.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$100.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$11.0910d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$240.8510d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $86.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
