0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$231.09
Realised
$80.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1766 shares @ 63.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$217.16
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
858 shares @ 66.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$587.66
$19.62
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
908 shares @ 59.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.45
$15.15
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
974 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$355.00
$-44.76
- NO
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
571 shares @ 59.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$285.75
$-56.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$794.88Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$795.20Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$231.82Jun 26, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$203.88Jun 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$401.76Jun 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$837.54Jun 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$346.73Jun 24, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$346.69Jun 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$60.42May 22, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$63.28May 22, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$123.73May 22, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$77.57May 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$81.86May 20, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$152.84May 20, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$204.84May 20, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$151.60May 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$223.23May 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$279.50May 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$165.95May 20, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$207.48May 17, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $181.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.