Similar-Rally
0x35a71a4179400ccbb865ccebdf7468ec31e32c7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-309.30
Realised
$3.14
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
1490 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?
277 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
205 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
139 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
108 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
108 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
105 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
64 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
57 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
34 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?$3.10Apr 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$0.95Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?$2.15Apr 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?$3.57Apr 12, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?$1.43Apr 12, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?$2.14Apr 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$43.24Apr 12, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$43.24Apr 12, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$7.67Apr 12, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?$5.63Apr 12, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?$3.63Apr 12, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$5.01Apr 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$3.40Apr 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$44.59Apr 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$44.59Apr 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$6.33Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.