Virtual-Ear
0x36b6d6027e2217f341275b790c6d1296d55be523
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$832.29
Total PnL
$61.39
Realised
$28.40
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
71 shares @ 85.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$59.48
$-1.22
- NO
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
52 shares @ 77.2¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$48.89
$8.89
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
52 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$48.52
$1.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
42 shares @ 92.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$40.11
$1.71
- NO
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$37.84
$2.64
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
41 shares @ 84.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.75
$0.75
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 87.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.29
$3.49
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
48 shares @ 41.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$30.51
$10.51
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$28.88
$3.28
- NO
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
43 shares @ 62.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$27.43
$0.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?$57.00Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$2.95Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$6.01Jul 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$7.74Jul 28, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$21.77Jul 28, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?$4.58Jul 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?$7.65Jul 27, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Jul 27, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 27, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 27, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 27, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 27, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2026?$10.06Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?$10.04Jul 26, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?$33.25Jul 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?$2.00Jul 23, 12:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$0.43Jul 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$1.15Jul 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?$2.68Jul 21, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $14.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.