Required-Ignorance
0x36f09a3db2eac84592103222a89609d4847f8ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
115
Open notional
$132.55
Total PnL
$-567.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
76 shares @ 55.5¢·now 53.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$40.35
$-1.65
- XLG GAMING
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
27 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$15.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 10.3¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.42
$7.92
- UNDER
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 81.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$13.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.87
$0.87
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 19.5¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.28
$0.18
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
14 shares @ 59.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
13 shares @ 42.1¢·now 44.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.77
$0.27
- CLOUD9
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$5.41
$0.41
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.34
$-5.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.12Jul 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. FC Petrocub Hînceşti: O/U 3.5$5.12Jul 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$1.04Jul 15, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$10.64Jul 15, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMFC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5$17.95Jul 15, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$28.57Jul 15, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMITF Gubbio: Peter Buldorini vs Maximilian Homberg$10.53Jul 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek$0.00Jul 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$16.32Jul 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$20.30Jul 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$5.13Jul 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek$2.08Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Darmstadt: Arina Bulatova vs Lola Giza$20.27Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Clara Burel vs Elsa Jacquemot$3.65Jul 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Gubbio: Peter Buldorini vs Maximilian Homberg$8.10Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 4.5$10.22Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGranby: Liam Draxl vs James Kent Trotter$1.56Jul 15, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$6.17Jul 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$1.04Jul 14, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.