Clear-Cut-Chemical
0x371c90ad624763ddfe3c0b889b5fdc2ddd61806c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.19
Total PnL
$-12.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
4 shares @ 82.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$0.50
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.21
$0.03
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.86
$0.28
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
2 shares @ 75.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.83
$0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$0.01
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.49
$-0.15
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 83.2¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.43
$0.05
- TIMBERWOLVES
Suns vs. Timberwolves
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- ASTROS
Astros vs. Red Sox
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?$1.59Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.53Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.64Jul 1, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.74Jun 24, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.39Jun 24, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$1.39Jun 17, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.98Jun 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by December 31?$1.84Jun 11, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.84Jun 3, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 27?$1.69Jun 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 27?$1.67May 27, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?$1.86May 27, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?$1.76May 20, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.93May 13, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$2.19May 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.72May 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?$1.77May 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?$1.60Apr 30, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jays vs. Orioles$0.00Apr 22, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by April 3?$0.00Apr 22, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $28.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.