Optimal-Root
0x371ca7c768d4129cacf0985443589d92e026c236
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$651.22
Total PnL
$-563.77
Realised
$33.64
Win rate
50%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
528 shares @ 20.5¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.07
$-13.30
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
180 shares @ 31.5¢·now 37.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.02
$10.25
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
154 shares @ 34.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.15
$0.55
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
1715 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.46
$-49.01
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 31.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.42
$9.42
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
608 shares @ 12.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.58
$-30.42
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
294 shares @ 16.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.73
$-10.81
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
315 shares @ 12.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.24
$-3.76
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
252 shares @ 15.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$33.97
$-4.60
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
516 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$33.51
$-21.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?$40.00Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$0.34Jun 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$25.08Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$24.20Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$26.30Jun 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$31.51Jun 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$36.00Jun 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$40.00Jun 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$10.00Jun 21, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$10.00Jun 21, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$20.00Jun 21, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$20.00Jun 21, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$40.00Jun 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$5.00Jun 21, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$30.00Jun 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$1.08Jun 20, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$30.00Jun 20, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$10.00Jun 20, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
30 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $27.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.