Sniveling-Median
0x3748a919c57560358e565947b6e09e82707f655a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$3.47
Total PnL
$-187.00
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 18.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.29
$0.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
59 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
35 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
14 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.01Jun 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$2.03Jun 25, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.02Jun 25, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.10Jun 25, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$8.94Jun 25, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.11Jun 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.03Jun 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.01Jun 25, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$15.00Jun 14, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.00Jun 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.20Jun 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.20Jun 3, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.56Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.46Jun 2, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$23.26May 21, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$20.20May 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.04May 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$22.06May 21, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$8.50May 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.41May 21, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.