Ringed-Gun
0x37699bda1d5362076128117253a96e9cc418600f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$305.38
Total PnL
$-524.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
113 shares @ 39.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.95
$0.95
- NO
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
63 shares @ 39.8¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
36 shares @ 69.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.85
$-0.15
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
27 shares @ 56.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.44
$8.44
- YES
Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch
33 shares @ 75.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.59
$-2.41
- YES
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 63.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.67
$-8.33
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.10
$0.10
- YES
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.59
$-0.41
- YES
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.08
$3.46
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
54 shares @ 48.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.91
$-14.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$5.14Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?$25.31Jul 19, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$19.59Jul 19, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.88Jul 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.13Jul 2, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.04Jul 2, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$2.06Jun 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$2.05Jun 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.04Jun 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$16.00Jun 30, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?$15.39Jun 30, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$26.05Jun 30, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike say "China" during earnings call?$1.03Jun 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?$1.03Jun 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike say "Consumer" during earnings call?$1.04Jun 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike say "Tariff" during earnings call?$2.06Jun 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?$1.04Jun 30, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$6.94Jun 30, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$8.06Jun 30, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.13Jun 30, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.