Euphoric-Headline
0x377d1939b32fefad321190085c0b28337275dddd
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$790.14
Total PnL
$-131.54
Realised
$22.37
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
45 shares @ 80.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.78
$-1.93
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?
53 shares @ 40.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.96
$7.70
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.75
$2.55
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
25 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.34
$0.65
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
27 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.99
$1.21
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 66.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.60
$5.50
- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
23 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.65
$1.69
- YES
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
20 shares @ 64.5¢·now 93.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$18.72
$5.82
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
35 shares @ 61.6¢·now 48.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.97
$-4.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?$10.00Jul 26, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10.00Jul 26, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.74Jul 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$8.30Jul 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.30Jul 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.90Jul 25, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$3.00Jul 25, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.01Jul 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?$0.90Jul 25, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 26?$10.17Jul 25, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.95Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$10.00Jul 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?$1.00Jul 24, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$4.82Jul 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$1.92Jul 24, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.03Jul 24, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.