Annual-Cookbook
0x377ff0fe69564900a32b5ee6c138cb24d3297c73
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$36.51
Total PnL
$-14.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$15.00
$0.10
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.38
$7.28
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.75
$4.45
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.71
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-5.46
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- LOPES
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 23, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$55.00Feb 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$14.89Feb 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.24Jan 28, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.62Jan 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.86Jan 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.39Jan 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.25Jan 27, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.55Jan 27, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.02Jan 27, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$19.82Jan 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.10Jan 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$54.89Jan 27, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$0.99Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$10.00Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$12.85Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$13.00Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$20.00Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$30.00Jan 27, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.