Troubled-Consistency
0x37ef96df20c50c42a1225f7f7da7301883cca37a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$729.18
Total PnL
$-197.72
Realised
$119.86
Win rate
26%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
693 shares @ 8.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$693.24
$632.92
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.13
$6.38
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.41
$0.01
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.41
$0.41
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
46741 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-106.15
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?
693 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.33
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
692 shares @ 86.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-598.03
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?
483 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
481 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
476 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$6.21Apr 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$15.00Apr 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.21Apr 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$15.00Apr 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$31.63Apr 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.81Apr 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.61Apr 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 28, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.52Apr 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.