Untimely-Charge
0x391dd6c65880963a94da3fb2d31ef419fe5bdef1
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$354.38
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
62%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
643 shares @ 14.9¢·now 54.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$348.26
$252.38
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
300 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$289.70
$-5.55
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
409 shares @ 60.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$272.18
$22.84
- NO
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
289 shares @ 89.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$263.03
$5.03
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
389 shares @ 63.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.12
$7.14
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
260 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.82
$0.78
- NO
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
280 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$249.21
$0.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
925 shares @ 26.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$231.31
$-16.24
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat?
234 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$223.92
$5.86
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
507 shares @ 42.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$197.84
$-16.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$17.96Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$4.38Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1.86Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$150.07Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$11.70Jul 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$24.64Jul 28, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$15.29Jul 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$142.68Jul 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$28.39Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$18.33Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$2.11Jul 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$0.80Jul 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 29?$30.57Jul 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 28?$1.31Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 28?$2.40Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on July 28?$12.80Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$20.57Jul 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$95.45Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$0.21Jul 28, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
73 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.