Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
Probability
23¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.2h
- 11:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:47PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 26¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 23¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of unique humans displayed on the official World website exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World website, available at https://world.org/, specifically the “Unique humans” figure shown on the homepage. This market is based solely on the “Unique humans” figure displayed on the official World website (https://world.org/), not on data from third-party analytics dashboards, or unofficial sources. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official World Network figures.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).