Waterlogged-Carriage
0x394ee7af460f42af2eeac23e388cacdcd0a49214
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$100.02
Total PnL
$-49.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
68 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$67.57
$17.57
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.46
$12.46
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
105 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
65 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.00Apr 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.00Apr 14, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$77.25Apr 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$50.00Apr 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$84.09Apr 13, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$20.00Apr 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41.42Apr 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$8.74Apr 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.54Apr 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$51.55Apr 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$60.00Apr 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$111.54Apr 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.59Apr 12, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$11.60Apr 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.49Apr 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.00Apr 11, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $37.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.