Lasting-Mug
0x3964ffea9c72f6937174399b0b9c4616e589fd1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$17.61
Total PnL
$-32.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NORWAY
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- SWITZERLAND
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.89
$0.57
- ANHELINA KALININA
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.83
$0.24
- LOS ANGELES SPARKS
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.82
$0.49
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.64
$0.13
- NO
Will the People Power Party win 0 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.49
$0.07
- NO
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$0.10
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.37
$0.00
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.34
$0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles$1.29Jun 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks$1.34Jun 7, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Ljubljana: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Christian Sigsgaard$1.13Jun 2, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Norway vs. Latvia$1.01May 28, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden$1.33May 28, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar$1.60May 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$1.58May 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$1.66May 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?$2.26May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.54May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMBrazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Blaise Bicknell$1.58May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$2.14May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 8?$2.22May 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderi$2.48May 21, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSantos: Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanova$1.01May 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$1.36May 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Blaise Bicknell$1.13May 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderi$1.53May 8, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.10May 8, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.