Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

1. 1

   Up 1pp over 24h

   Now 92¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 922h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $19.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongbuk Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).