Sophisticated-Cadet
0x39a2f79fc642ce5a5dd24aea678025adb96796e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$73.81
Total PnL
$21.52
Realised
$4.43
Win rate
66%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.03
$3.48
- YES
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
13 shares @ 9.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.60
$5.46
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.27
$1.66
- YES
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.34
$-0.31
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.80
$0.33
- YES
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
8 shares @ 33.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.70
$0.91
- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30?
9 shares @ 9.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.10
$2.31
- UNDER
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.08
$-0.35
- YES
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
23 shares @ 3.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$2.70
$1.88
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donovan Fenton win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$0.10Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donovan Fenton win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$0.10Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$3.39Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.07Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.02Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.09Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.10Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.18Jun 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.20Jun 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?$1.05Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$0.78Jun 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$3.56Jun 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.03Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.13Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$0.36Jun 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$0.10Jun 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$0.97Jun 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$0.40Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Uruguay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.