Liquid-Argument
0x39a5f94e851642404751cc5310edaa180eac87f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$108.5K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$12.11
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
20000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.0K
$51.60
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
12215 shares @ 84.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.2K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6951 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$6.9K
$372.24
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
11227 shares @ 86.6¢·now 60.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.8K
$-2.9K
- NO
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5260 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.1K
$20.51
- NO
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5207 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.8K
$-26.03
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.7K
$675.00
- NO
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5030 shares @ 93.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.7K
$-35.16
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3363 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.2K
$68.87
- NO
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2989 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$2.8K
$179.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?$12.88Jun 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$38.53Jun 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$27.44Jun 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$87.45Jun 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$24.14Jun 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$79.74Jun 15, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$10.00Jun 15, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$8.56Jun 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$20.18Jun 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$10.48Jun 15, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$92.34Jun 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$123.80Jun 15, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$196.96Jun 15, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$915.96Jun 15, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$235.65Jun 15, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$484.95Jun 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$95.03Jun 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?$15.72Jun 15, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$31.84Jun 15, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$89.00Jun 15, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 05:30 UTC → Jun 2, 05:23 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$10.0K@100¢Jun 2, 05:23 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $109.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.