Imperturbable-Genius
0x3a37b4d476c35b481276b31b8989487fa311141a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-63.69
Realised
$-112.93
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
1344 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$20.16
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
149 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$149.00
$32.78
- YES
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.32
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$13.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 12, 4AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 18, 10PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winner$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 7AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$0.00Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $252.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.