Direct-Architecture
0x3a40d2db029f750db4bab589213af2d472f7f29e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.95
Total PnL
$376.05
Realised
$457.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.05
$1.05
- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
2218 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
136 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
43 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$190.10Apr 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$919.60Apr 29, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$101.25Apr 28, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$18.75Apr 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$8.48Apr 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$18.29Apr 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$52.77Apr 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$20.42Apr 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$114.45Apr 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$47.30Apr 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$43.16Apr 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$43.11Apr 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$129.28Apr 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$80.00Apr 25, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$32.09Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$2.23Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$0.53Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$0.31Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$0.13Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $79.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.