Mountainous-Tambourine
0x3b6ec1f7803bd9bcac3c85c47c4bbf4c87605a6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$50.53
Total PnL
$-43.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.19
$7.19
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.19
$2.19
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.15
$1.15
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
41 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
27 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $10.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.