Neat-Yarmulke
0x3bcf0c1c1a3356b3e30054f24baece1ec59be964
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$67.0K
Total PnL
$691.81
Realised
$-88.23
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35838 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.2K
$11.2K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35833 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.7K
$-11.2K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
4290 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.2K
$71.57
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4000 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2111 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.1K
$1.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1911 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$1.14
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-30.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1888 shares @ 73.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.6K
$239.34
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1666 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$29.15
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1547 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$-2.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.3KMay 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?$75.20May 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in May?$5.50May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?$955.15May 18, 06:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.97May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$308.64May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$35.86May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.0KMay 17, 09:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.34May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.72May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.05May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$457.94May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.69May 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.9KMay 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$50.78May 16, 10:55 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.4KMay 16, 10:54 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 16, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.0KMay 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.7KMay 16, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $341.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".