Quizzical-Freighter
0x3bda24d4bb2b92285af5176ab44495710b57a277
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$22.15
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
4 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 65.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.22
$-1.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
3 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.76
$0.25
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 71.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.59
$-0.59
- NO
Will Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.24
$0.14
- NO
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.21
$0.12
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.15
$0.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.14
$0.05
- NO
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.00Jun 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.14Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMBrand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire$1.30May 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire$1.10May 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.11May 22, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.09May 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.28May 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.47Apr 30, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.47Apr 30, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.02Apr 30, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.09Apr 30, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.10Apr 30, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.12Apr 29, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.09Apr 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.12Apr 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.06Apr 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 21, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.01Apr 20, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.