Sociable-Raise
0x3c600a211cac61c82d364e62c99854ca24a5ea1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$36.29
Total PnL
$-792.56
Realised
$1.24
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$25.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
12 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.24
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
244 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Heat
47 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Warriors
39 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$10.11May 16, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$25.25May 16, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $33.89May 16, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $9.05May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Timberwolves$13.50May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.61May 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.13May 15, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 15, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 15, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.08May 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$10.10May 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $27.30May 14, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $6.07May 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$5.83May 10, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $4.03May 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$10.11May 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers $14.47May 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.12May 8, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".