Lighthearted-Lollipop
0x3c693472870b14f85414b769530ca77cc8dd2dd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$22.35
Total PnL
$-11.65
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 65.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.32
$-1.05
- NO
Will Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.36
$0.16
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 72.5¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.32
$-0.88
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.22
$0.04
- NO
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.08
$-0.53
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.99
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Jun 14, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Jun 14, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.14Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.68Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.27May 28, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.00May 27, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.25May 26, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBrand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire$1.30May 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire$1.10May 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.11May 22, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.13May 19, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.09May 18, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$0.38May 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1M committed to the Fluent public sale?$0.98May 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.14May 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.21May 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.30May 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.01May 15, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.